Country polling · presidential

Brazil

Explore each election separately, including distinct rounds and voting bases.

President 2026 · first round

Valid votesReviewed 25 October 2026Selected polls · 2 observations

Election timing and results

Election date: .

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President 2026 · first round polling

Selected final first-round polls. Valid-vote figures exclude blank and invalid responses. Only candidate figures explicitly reported by the source are shown; an omitted candidate is not a zero. This is a dated selection, not a complete archive.

Datafolha

Lula45%45%
Flávio Bolsonaro42%42%
Augusto Cury3%3%
Ronaldo Caiado4%4%
Renan Santos3%3%
Romeu Zema1%1%

CNT/MDA

Lula47.8%47.8%
Flávio Bolsonaro42.1%42.1%
Augusto Cury3.6%3.6%
Ronaldo Caiado3.4%3.4%
Renan Santos1.7%1.7%
Romeu Zema0.9%0.9%
President 2026 · first round · Valid votes
PollsterFieldworkSampleLula (PT)Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)Augusto CuryRonaldo CaiadoRenan SantosRomeu ZemaReported margin of error
Datafolha2026-10-02 – 2026-10-034,00645%42%3%4%3%1%±2 pp
CNT/MDA2026-09-30 – 2026-10-022,00747.8%42.1%3.6%3.4%1.7%0.9%±2.2 pp

Source: Reuters ↗. Margins of error apply to individual estimates, not directly to the candidate gap.

Coverage and methodology

No average or trend is inferred from this selection. First-round, second-round, hypothetical matchups and different voting bases are kept separate. Missing values remain unavailable. These selected reports do not claim the complete, licensed archive coverage of Bismuth’s published party-vote datasets.

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